\begin{table}
\centering
\begin{tabular}[t]{lccc}
\toprule
  & Model 1 & Model 2 & Model 3\\
\midrule
Intercept & \num{-2.628}*** & \num{-2.659}*** & \num{-2.623}***\\
 & {}[\num{-2.984}, \num{-2.272}] & {}[\num{-3.019}, \num{-2.298}] & {}[\num{-2.991}, \num{-2.255}]\\
AF Decline Onset t-1 & \num{0.851}*** &  & \\
 & {}[\num{0.558}, \num{1.144}] &  & \\
GDP pc log & \num{-0.280}*** & \num{-0.274}*** & \num{-0.274}***\\
 & {}[\num{-0.396}, \num{-0.163}] & {}[\num{-0.389}, \num{-0.159}] & {}[\num{-0.388}, \num{-0.159}]\\
GDP growth & \num{-0.034}*** & \num{-0.033}*** & \num{-0.035}***\\
 & {}[\num{-0.050}, \num{-0.018}] & {}[\num{-0.049}, \num{-0.017}] & {}[\num{-0.051}, \num{-0.018}]\\
Population log & \num{0.029}+ & \num{0.026}+ & \num{0.027}+\\
 & {}[\num{-0.001}, \num{0.060}] & {}[\num{-0.004}, \num{0.056}] & {}[\num{-0.003}, \num{0.057}]\\
Regional democracy levels & \num{0.172} & \num{0.213} & \num{0.241}\\
 & {}[\num{-0.496}, \num{0.840}] & {}[\num{-0.460}, \num{0.886}] & {}[\num{-0.436}, \num{0.919}]\\
Judicial constraints on executive & \num{0.324}* & \num{0.330}* & \num{0.333}*\\
 & {}[\num{0.027}, \num{0.620}] & {}[\num{0.031}, \num{0.628}] & {}[\num{0.035}, \num{0.632}]\\
Legislative constraints on executive & \num{0.631}*** & \num{0.630}*** & \num{0.632}***\\
 & {}[\num{0.350}, \num{0.913}] & {}[\num{0.348}, \num{0.912}] & {}[\num{0.349}, \num{0.914}]\\
Western Europe and North America & \num{-0.467}** & \num{-0.473}** & \num{-0.478}**\\
 & {}[\num{-0.766}, \num{-0.169}] & {}[\num{-0.774}, \num{-0.172}] & {}[\num{-0.779}, \num{-0.176}]\\
Subsaharan Africa & \num{-0.144} & \num{-0.112} & \num{-0.107}\\
 & {}[\num{-0.370}, \num{0.082}] & {}[\num{-0.339}, \num{0.115}] & {}[\num{-0.335}, \num{0.120}]\\
Asia and Pacific & \num{-0.130} & \num{-0.105} & \num{-0.100}\\
 & {}[\num{-0.331}, \num{0.070}] & {}[\num{-0.306}, \num{0.097}] & {}[\num{-0.302}, \num{0.102}]\\
Eastern Europe and Central Asia & \num{-0.023} & \num{-0.014} & \num{-0.006}\\
 & {}[\num{-0.220}, \num{0.174}] & {}[\num{-0.212}, \num{0.184}] & {}[\num{-0.205}, \num{0.192}]\\
MENA & \num{-0.145} & \num{-0.117} & \num{-0.109}\\
 & {}[\num{-0.410}, \num{0.120}] & {}[\num{-0.384}, \num{0.150}] & {}[\num{-0.378}, \num{0.160}]\\
Year & \num{0.011}** & \num{0.011}** & \num{0.010}**\\
 & {}[\num{0.004}, \num{0.018}] & {}[\num{0.004}, \num{0.018}] & {}[\num{0.002}, \num{0.017}]\\
Year squared & \num{0.000}* & \num{0.000}* & \num{0.000}*\\
 & {}[\num{0.000}, \num{0.000}] & {}[\num{0.000}, \num{0.000}] & {}[\num{0.000}, \num{0.000}]\\
AF Decline Onset (t-1 and t-3) &  & \num{0.621}*** & \\
 &  & {}[\num{0.412}, \num{0.829}] & \\
AF Decline Onset (t-1 and t-5) &  &  & \num{0.439}***\\
 &  &  & {}[\num{0.247}, \num{0.631}]\\
\midrule
Num.Obs. & \num{13670} & \num{13561} & \num{13411}\\
AIC & \num{2094.7} & \num{2081.9} & \num{2088.7}\\
BIC & \num{2207.5} & \num{2194.7} & \num{2201.2}\\
Log.Lik. & \num{-1032.325} & \num{-1025.974} & \num{-1029.344}\\
F & \num{13.355} & \num{13.823} & \num{12.612}\\
Std.Errors & Stata & Stata & Stata\\
\bottomrule
\end{tabular}
\end{table}
